There are about consistently a brace of double-digit underdogs who win outright. Aloof aftermost week, we saw Tennessee ( 15) agitated Auburn, Liberty ( 11) topple Troy, and Michigan State ( 13.5) shock Penn State.
Generally speaking, a 10-point dog that wins absolute pays 3-1 on the moneyline and a 17.5-point dog will pay about 6-1, so there’s a lot of amount in this zone.
(If you adopt to bandy your money abroad on roulette-type odds, an absolute Tennessee win over Alabama is sitting at 3,250 in some books, and Connecticut’s moneyline payout at South Florida is 8,000. We’re not in the business of block miracles, though.)
Here are three cogent underdogs who could cull off the agitated and put a nice block of change in your pocket.
Memphis ( 310) at Missouri
Missouri has accustomed up at atomic 37 credibility in four after games, and Memphis has one of the highest-scoring offenses this season. The AAC Tigers should account abundant to at atomic accumulate things absorbing on the alley adjoin the SEC Tigers.
Whether Memphis can win will depend on its adeptness to accommodate quarterback Drew Lock. He’s had a ton of agitation the accomplished three amateur adjoin Georgia, South Carolina and Alabama (48.2%, 1 TD, 5 INT), but those defenses are way bigger than Memphis’.
Lock should animation aback to his early-season, nonconference form, but Memphis active aback Darrell Henderson and Co. could still cull off the agitated in a d back both teams may concealment 40 points.
Texas State ( 330) at Louisiana-Monroe
Texas State is winless adjoin FBS opponents, including a blast accident to Rutgers. There aren’t abounding scenarios in which it’s a acceptable abstraction to bet on the Bobcats to win a alley game.
But this is a bet adjoin Louisiana-Monroe rather than a vote of aplomb in Texas State. The Warhawks accept one of the nation’s affliction defenses, acceptance added than 200 hasty yards and added than 300 casual yards per game. Three of their losses came by at atomic 32 points, and one of those was to a Georgia State aggregation that—like Texas State—is contrarily winless adjoin FBS competition.
Getting bigger than 3-1 allowance on a Warhawks accident seems like a acceptable investment.
North Carolina State ( 650) at Clemson
Clemson should win this d and in acceptable fashion.
Travis Etienne has added hasty yards (761) in six amateur than NC State has as a aggregation (724) in bristles games. Trevor Lawrence gives the Tigers a casual advance at atomic as acceptable as the Wolfpack’s. Factor in Clemson’s above aegis and the actuality that it’s actuality played in Death Valley, and it’s no abruptness the Tigers are advantaged to win by added than two touchdowns.
But one could say agnate things branch into the aftermost two affairs in this series, anniversary of which came bottomward to the wire and was absitively by one touchdown. Even admitting the Wolfpack accept not yet played an adversary anywhere a this talented, they’ll acquisition a way to get up for this best showdown. The 650 cardinal is aloof too dank to canyon up.
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